Consciousness and Cognition
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Consciousness and Cognition's content profile, based on 19 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Fernandez, A.; Foncelle, A.; Meunier, H.; Van-Der-Henst, J.-B.; Revillet, F.; Breton, A.
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Introduction Auto-Induced Cognitive Trance (AICT) is a non-ordinary state of consciousness (NOSC) that can be accessed by will alone once a standardised self-induction procedure has been learnt. The first research publication on AICT dates back only ten years, meaning that research on this phenomenon is still in its infancy. Previous reports concerning the phenomenology and neurophysiology of AICT revealed similarities with more extensively described NOSCs, as well as unusual features, raising questions about the potential benefits of AICT practice for well-being. Objective This study aimed to gather quantitative descriptive data on features associated with well-being in a large comparative sample of AICT practitioners and non-practitioners. Method This research followed a web-based survey study design which enquired AICT-trained and yet-to-be trained participants to self-report through validated standardised questionnaires on vitality, self-esteem, mental well-being, trait anxiety, life satisfaction, happiness, positive and negative affect, nature-relatedness and connectedness. Data on NOSCs practices, life history events that could have led to spontaneous NOSCs, and demographic data were collected for further inclusion as control variables in statistical models. Results The online questionnaire yielded 607 valid responses, (171 yet-to-be trained participants and 436 AICT-trained participants). AICT practice was found to be associated with increased self-esteem (RSE), overall connectedness (WCS) as well as all subdimensions of connectedness (WCS Self, WCS Others, WCS World). AICT practice Duration exhibited significant effects on global connectedness and all subdimensions of connectedness, self-esteem, trait anxiety (STAIT-5), and positive affect (PANAS+). Conclusions AICT seems to benefit to practitioners well-being shortly after training through increases in self-esteem and in the sense of connectedness. Prolonged AICT practice is associated with added decreased trait anxiety and increased positive affect. Further research is needed to confirm these findings with a sample including AICT-uninterested participants, and to clarify the underlying mechanisms of AICT.
Onah, C.; Ogwuche, C. H.; Haruna, A. I.
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The increasing deployment of artificial intelligence (AI) assistive systems across healthcare, education, and organisational domains necessitates a deeper understanding of dispositional factors shaping trust and acceptance. This study investigated the Big Five personality traits as predictors of trust in and acceptance of AI assistive systems among a large adult sample (N = 380) in Makurdi Benue State. Anchored in the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) developed by Davis (1989), the study examined both direct and indirect pathways linking personality traits to AI acceptance through trust. Participants completed standardised measures of the Big Five Inventory, Trust in AI Scale, and AI Acceptance Scale. Data were analysed using structural equation modelling (SEM) with maximum likelihood estimation. The hypothesised model demonstrated good fit indices (CFI = .84, TLI = .82, RMSEA = .05). Openness to experience ({beta} = .34, p < .001) and agreeableness ({beta} = .27, p < .01) significantly predicted trust in AI systems, which in turn strongly predicted AI acceptance ({beta} = .62, p < .001). Neuroticism negatively predicted trust ({beta} = -.29, p < .001), while conscientiousness showed a modest positive direct effect on acceptance ({beta} = .18, p < .05). Extraversion was not a significant direct predictor but exerted an indirect effect through trust. Mediation analysis confirmed that trust significantly mediated the relationship between personality traits and AI acceptance. The findings underscore the centrality of dispositional traits in shaping technological trust formation and highlight the psychological architecture underlying human AI interaction. These results contribute to social psychological theory and provide empirical guidance for designing personality sensitive AI systems to enhance user adoption and sustained engagement.
Pestian, J. P.; Jacobson, D. A.; Pedapati, E. V.; Mendonca, E. A.; McMahon, B. H.; Ive, J.; Glauser, T. A.
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The emotional content of suicide notes is typically examined using categorical coding, where each labeled passage is treated in isolation from its surrounding language. In contrast, dimensional models of psychopathology propose that affective content varies along continuous gradients. We evaluated this proposition directly. Excerpts from 884 annotated suicide notes were embedded in a semantic space defined solely by their linguistic properties, and we investigated whether human-assigned emotion labels changed smoothly across this space. They did: affective tone showed clear spatial autocorrelation (Moran's $I = 0.18$, $z = 19.68$, $p < 0.001$), an effect that replicated across three different encoders and remained after removing all within-note dependencies. Emotions occupied recognizable yet overlapping regions rather than forming distinct clusters and varied substantially in how tightly they were concentrated: love and hopelessness appeared with similar frequency, but love was far more localized ($z = 15.7$ versus $10.8$). Among all emotions, hopelessness was the most linguistically diffuse, implying that a single categorical label is capturing multiple, qualitatively different manifestations of suicidal distress.
Zhang, Y.; Sutherland, S.; GREENWAY, K.; Stayt, L.
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Abstract Background: Remote clinical reviews have become an integral component of contemporary nursing practice across community and acute care settings. Nurses increasingly make autonomous clinical decisions using telephone, video, and online/digital systems, often with limited sensory information and under conditions of uncertainty. However, empirical understanding of how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews remains limited. Aim: To explore and understand how registered nurses (RNs) make clinical decisions about patient care via remote reviews. Methods: A convergent mixed-methods design was employed. Quantitative data (analytic quantitative sample N=53) were collected using validated questionnaires that measured decision-making processes, physician-nurse collaboration, decision-making stress, and perceived decision-making ability. Qualitative data (N=23) were generated through semi-structured interviews. Data collection took place between October 2024 and April 2025. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics, correlation, and multiple regression. Qualitative data were analysed using framework analysis. Integration was achieved through pillar-building and theory-driven synthesis and illustrated by joint display tables. Results: Most nurses demonstrated a flexible decision-making style, integrating analytical and intuitive reasoning. Both analytical and intuitive processes were positively associated with perceived decision-making ability. Physician-nurse collaboration emerged as a strong predictor of decision-making confidence, while decision-related stress was not a significant predictor. Qualitative findings identified three themes: characteristics of remote review; making adaptive decisions shaped by both internal and external constraints and enablers; and external influencing factors. The integrated findings informed a theory-informed ICE framework to illustrate how nurses make clinical decisions via remote reviews. Conclusion: Remote clinical decision-making is a dynamic cognitive-environmental process rather than a purely individual cognitive act. The ICE framework conceptualises this interaction, extending existing decision-making theories to digitally mediated care. Impact: Understanding remote decision-making supports training design, clinical governance, and the development of Artificial Intelligence-enhanced decision-support tools grounded in ecological bounded rationality. Patient or Public Contribution: Patient and public representatives contributed to stakeholder discussions that informed the development of the interview topic guide and the theoretical model. Patients or members of the public were not involved in recruitment, data collection, analysis, interpretation of findings, or preparation of the manuscript. Keywords: clinical decision-making, remote reviews, telehealth, nursing, mixed methods, ecological bounded rationality
Varidel, M. R.; Borgnolo, L.; An, V.; Carpenter, J. S.; Hickie, I. B.; Pan, P. M.; da Silva, F.; Crouse, J. J.; Miguel, E. C.; Rohde, L. A.; Salum, G. A.; Iorfino, F.
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Background: Bidirectional next-day associations between sleep disturbances and affective symptoms have been shown in previous research, yet the consecutive day effects between these factors remains poorly understood. Methods: We analysed longitudinal ecological momentary assessment (EMA) data obtained from a subsample of young persons in the Brazilian High-Risk Cohort (BHRC) study collected in 2020-2021. Participants reported sleep quality each morning and rated affective symptoms relating to mood, anxiety, and energy four times daily for 28 days. We selected 88 individuals (17.83{+/-}1.74 years, 56 [63.6%] female gender) with at least one instance where individuals were observed three-days in a row. Within-person bidirectional next-day effects between sleep quality and affective symptoms were estimated using mixed-effects regression analysis adjusting. We then applied g-estimation approaches to estimate the effect that lagged sleep quality and consecutive improvements in sleep quality had on affective symptoms. Results: Sleep quality and affective symptoms had bidirectional next-day effects, with sleep quality tending to have greater influence on affective symptoms than the reverse. Improved lagged sleep quality had positive effects on affective symptoms incrementally above the prior night's sleep quality. Also, improvement of sleep quality across consecutive days had incremental and approximately equal effects on affective symptoms. Conclusions: Sleep quality and affective symptoms exhibit a feedback loop, whereby poor sleep quality influences affective symptoms over consecutive days. Breaking these feedback loops, by improving sleep quality across several consecutive nights should improve affective symptoms. This supports interventions that target sustained improvement in sleep and possibly circadian regulation to improve affective symptoms.
Lee, E.; Sim, S. H.; Park, C.; Kim, H.; Ahn, W.-Y.; Park, C. H. K.
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Background: Emotion dysregulation is a core feature of bipolar disorder (BD), yet its behavioral expression during depressive episodes, and potential differences between its types, BD-I and BD-II, remain unclear. This study used automated facial-expression analysis during naturalistic affective film viewing to examine subtype-specific and context-dependent emotional responding in bipolar depression. Methods: The sample included 135 participants: 69 healthy controls and 66 patients with BD (BD-I, 23; BD-II, 43). Participants viewed nine emotionally evocative film clips spanning negative, positive, neutral, and socially threatening contexts, while their facial expressions were continuously recorded and quantified using computer vision-based facial-expression analysis. Results: Patients with BD-I showed a distinct, context-dependent facial-expression profile, characterized by greater negative responses across multiple contexts than other groups. Specifically, they showed increased sadness during sad, reward, and amusing clips, and elevated anger during sad and neutral clips. In socially threatening contexts, BD-I participants showed a multivalent pattern of elevated anger, fear, and joy, suggesting poorly coordinated or context-incongruent affective expression. In contrast, BD-II participants did not differ significantly from healthy controls on any emotion, despite depressive symptom severity comparable to BD-I participants. Conclusions: These findings suggest that facial-expression patterns in bipolar depression differ across subtypes. BD-I may be characterized by heightened negative reactivity and altered context-appropriate modulation of emotional expression, whereas BD-II may not show comparable alterations in overt facial output. Automated facial-expression analysis during naturalistic stimulation may provide a useful behavioral marker for characterizing subtype-specific affective disturbance in bipolar depression and related psychopathology.
Ngo, N.; Dao, G.; Sano, A.
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Large Language Models are increasingly used in consumer-facing mental health tools, many of which claim that prompt engineering alone can ensure safe therapeutic behavior. This study evaluates that assumption by testing 20 proprietary and open-source LLMs on high-risk psychiatric scenarios, using prompts grounded in behavioral therapy principles. Prompt engineering reduced some predictable risks, such as explicit endorsement of self-harm, but consistently failed in ambiguous or clinically nuanced situations. Models frequently validated harmful statements, colluded with hallucinations, minimized symptoms, or used stigmatizing language, including in the newest and largest models. These failures reflect structural limitations such as lack of memory, insufficient contextual reasoning, and training-related biases. Prompt engineering alone is therefore insufficient for safe AI-mediated psychotherapy; clinician-guided fine-tuning, integrated safety mechanisms, and system-level oversight will be required. This work provides early evidence motivating deeper clinician-led evaluation and safety-oriented model development.
Chatthong, W.; Rueankam, M.; Khemthong, S.
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Executive function (EF) deficits are central features of schizophrenia and strongly influence long-term functional outcomes. Conventional cognitive assessments often lack ecological validity and cultural relevance. This study introduces the Luk Chup Augmented Reality (LCAR) tool a video guided, clay modeling task delivered through wearable AR that integrates culturally familiar activity with realtime neurophysiological monitoring. Thirty individuals diagnosed with schizophrenia (mean age = 38.9, SD. = 7.15 years) completed a series of modeling and memory tasks using LCAR while undergoing quantitative EEG (QEEG). Task duration and theta/beta power were analyzed across procedural and color shape memory phases. Memory phases took significantly longer to complete and were associated with decreased lateral prefrontal theta and increased frontal midline theta activity (Fz, Cz), indicating higher EF demand. A repeated-measures ANOVA revealed significant condition, site, and interaction effects on theta power. The LCAR tool shows promise as a culturally grounded, dual-mode assessment of EF in schizophrenia. It offers a novel integration of performance-based and neurophysiological metrics that may inform future interventions in psychiatric rehabilitation.
Liu, J. B.; Chen, Y.-J.; Edelen, M. O.; Pusic, A. L.; Martin, N. E.; Zeng, C.
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Purpose: Nonresponse to routinely collected patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) threatens the representativeness of aggregated data. We characterized patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors associated with PROMIS Global-10 nonresponse in routine radiation oncology care. Methods: In this retrospective cohort study, all adults seen at five Mass General Brigham radiation oncology clinics over one year were included. The primary outcome was patient-level nonresponse, defined as never completing the portal-administered Global-10 versus completing it at least once. Using iterative mixed-effects logistic regression, we modeled patient-, provider-, and clinic-level factors. Results: Among 12,214 patients, 71 providers, and five clinics, patient- and appointment-level response rates were 35.4% and 10.9%, with patient-level response ranging nearly fivefold across clinics (12.8% to 66.2%). In Model 1, male sex, lower education, not working, and recent surgery had higher odds of nonresponse, and longer time since diagnosis lower odds. After provider- and clinic-level factors were added, patient sex, education, and employment became nonsignificant, whereas recent surgery (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.97) and longer time since diagnosis (aOR 0.46 for >12 months) persisted. A provider's historical collection rate was protective but attenuated at the clinic level. There, a later program launch (aOR 0.29) and higher historical collection rate (aOR 0.79) correlated with lower nonresponse, whereas academic versus community setting did not. Conclusions: Nonresponse to routinely collected PROMs is a multilevel phenomenon driven substantially by clinic-level implementation factors, not patient characteristics alone. Because response rate is only a proxy for representativeness, PROMs programs and PRO-based performance measures should prioritize representative collection over volume.
Weerasinghe, C.; Osowicki, J.; Simpson, J. A.; Crocker-Buque, T.; McCarthy, J.; Williams, E.; Price, D. J.
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Controlled human infection models (CHIMs) are increasingly used in infectious disease research to study pathogen dynamics and evaluate interventions under controlled conditions. However, these studies are resource-intensive and involve ethical and safety constraints, making efficient study design critical. Dose-finding is a key early component in CHIMs, where the aim is to identify a challenge dose that achieves a target infection probability. Traditional rule-based designs are commonly used but can be inefficient, motivating the use of model-based adaptive approaches such as the Bayesian Continual Reassessment Method (CRM). Although CRM has been extensively studied and widely adopted in Phase I oncology trials for identifying the maximum tolerated dose of therapeutics, its application in CHIM settings remains limited, particularly when the endpoint of interest is infection. This tutorial provides step-by-step guidance for implementing a Bayesian CRM in dose-finding CHIMs, using an oropharyngeal Neisseria gonorrhoeae challenge as a motivating case study. The framework outlines key design components, including dose-grid specification, dose-response model, prior elicitation, Bayesian updating, decision rules, and stopping criteria, with particular emphasis on a clinically interpretable parameterisation. Trial operating characteristics are evaluated through simulation studies under multiple dose-response scenarios and prior-predictive analyses, and compared with a commonly used '3+3' type rule-based design. This work highlights the advantages of Bayesian model-based designs for dose-finding in CHIMs over classic rule-based designs and provides a structured, reproducible framework for implementing CRM, supporting their application in future CHIM studies.
Prosty, C.; Butler-Laporte, G.; Brophy, J.; Frenette, C.; Loo, V.; Coburn, B.; Hota, S.; Longtin, Y.; Kong, L.; Muller, M.; Steiner, T.; Valiquette, L.; Daneman, N.; Daley, P.; Nott, C.; MacFadden, D. R.; Kandel, C.; Chen, Y.; Perez- Patrigeon, S.; Lee, T. C.; McDonald, E.
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Background and Aims The optimal treatment for first episodes and first recurrences of Clostridioides difficile infections (CDI) is unknown and there is emerging evidence for pulse and taper (P-T) regimens. Therefore, we sought to estimate the relative efficacy of treatment options. Methods MEDLINE and CENTRAL were searched from database inception to May 21, 2025 and unpublished conference abstracts were searched from recent infectious disease conferences. RCTs on the treatment of first episodes or first recurrences of CDI comparing fixed-dose or P-T regimens of fidaxomicin or vancomycin were included. The primary and secondary outcomes were 40- and 56-day CDI recurrence, respectively. A random-effects network meta-analysis on the risk ratio (RR) scale was conducted using a standard regimen (10-14 days) of vancomycin as the comparator. Treatments were ranked using the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA). Results 8 RCTs were included comprising a total of 2181 patients. For 40-day recurrence, fidaxomicin P-T had the highest probability of ranking best (RR=0.10, 95%Confidence Interval [95%CI]=0.10-0.49, SUCRA=1.00), followed by vancomycin P-T (RR=0.49, 95%CI=0.32-0.76, SUCRA=0.61), fixed-dose fidaxomicin (RR=0.61, 95%CI=0.49-0.76, SUCRA=0.39), and, finally, fixed-dose of vancomycin (SUCRA=0.00). The treatments ranked in the same order for 56-day recurrence, though only 3 RCTs reported on this timepoint. Conclusion Vancomycin P-T, fidaxomicin P-T, and fixed-dose fidaxomicin were all superior to a fixed-dose vancomycin. Head-to-head comparative effectiveness RCTs are needed to quantify their relative effect sizes of and impact on long-term prevention of recurrent CDI.
Brochu, H. N.; Shi, Q.; Song, K.; Zhang, Q.; Munroe, J.; Harris, N. J.; Britt, N.; Zeng, Q.; Kapuria, K.; Chappell, J.; Norvell, B. M.; Peavy, L.; Williams, J. D.; Harris, A. B.; Chaitram, J.; Hutson, C. L.; Deng, J.; McGrath, D.; Boles, D.; Dale, S. E.; Gigante, C. M.; Iyer, L. K.
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Background The 2022-2023 global mpox outbreak highlighted the critical need for robust genomic surveillance capabilities to track mpox virus (MPXV) evolution and transmission dynamics. Methods Building upon our established SARS-CoV-2 sequencing infrastructure, we implemented a Molecular Loop probe-based long-read sequencing approach using Pacific Biosciences Sequel II technology for comprehensive MPXV genomic surveillance across the United States (US). From August 2024 to June 2025, we generated 326 high-quality whole genome sequences from residual mpox-positive clinical specimens collected by Labcorp across all 10 US Department of Health and Human Services regions. Results Our analysis identified two samples containing clade Ib MPXV in January and June 2025 and captured shifting trends in clade IIb diversity, with 13 distinct lineages observed. We also identified multiple instances of large (~1.6-17.6kb) deletions proximal to the inverted terminal repeats in clade IIb genomes. APOBEC3 mutation analysis indicated substantial evidence of human-to-human transmission among both clades. Further, we observed significantly higher APOBEC3-associated SNPs per kilobase (P<0.001) in clade IIb genomic variable regions relative to their central conserved region. Our assay exhibited strong reproducibility across biological replicates from individual patients and accuracy was confirmed via parallel sequencing of select specimens by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) using metagenomic sequencing. We also demonstrated via custom simulation that our assay discriminates all known MPXV clades and lineages, including those we have not observed in the US. Conclusions Our integrated nationwide surveillance system facilitates real-time genomic tracking of outbreak evolution, with demonstrated capacity across SARS-CoV-2 and MPXV, positioning this platform for rapid deployment during future pathogen emergence.
Gu, S.; Petrovitch, D.; Hall, O. T.; Lambert, J. W.; Kember, R. L.; Nahid, N. A.; Ma, Q.; Sprague, J. E.; McDonough, C. W.; Johnson, J. A.
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Background: Opioid use disorder (OUD) is heritable, yet most genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have focused on European populations, leaving the genetic architecture of OUD in non-European populations underexplored. Methods: We conducted GWAS of OUD across three ancestries using electronic health records and genomic data from 52,357 All of Us Research Program participants (8,912 cases; 43,445 matched opioid-exposed controls; 48.5% female). Participants were stratified into European (EUR), African (AFR), and Admixed American (AMR) ancestry groups for logistic regression GWAS, with independent replication in the Million Veteran Program. We then applied the deep-learning model AlphaGenome to predict the tissue-specific transcriptomic and splicing consequences of top risk variants across 13 reward-pathway brain regions. Results: We identified and replicated a novel DDX6 risk locus, alongside established OPRM1 and FURIN signals. AlphaGenome predicted the DDX6 regulatory allele downregulates the stress-resistance gene FOXR1 in the nucleus accumbens, while the protective OPRM1 variant (rs1799971) upregulates OPRM1 expression across reward networks. Other signals of interest included IL6R and SHISA9 (EUR); GHR (AFR); and ASTN2 (AMR). Conclusions: This study identifies DDX6 as a novel OUD risk locus, replicates associations with OPRM1 and FURIN, and highlights biologically plausible ancestry-specific signals in AFR and AMR populations. We also replicated top variants in an independent population. Finally, integrating GWAS with deep-learning annotations provides specific, localized biological hypotheses to guide future experimental validation and targeted therapeutics.
Kamelian, K.; Pascall, D. J.; Cheng, M. T. K.; Meng, B.; Altaf, M.; Morse, R. M.; Aggio, J. B.; Egan, D. J. S.; Chen-Xu, M.; Trivioli, G.; Sutton, B.; Richter, A.; Gonzalez-Vazquez, L. D.; Cormie, C.; Kemp, S.; Yeadon, R.; Hyatt, B.; Wong, A.; Thesin Pelamkulangara, N.; Fraser, E.; McCarthy, B.; Novaes, F.; Stott, S.; Galvin, A.; Bellis, K. L.; De Angelis, D.; Harrison, E. M.; Martin, D.; Smith, R. M.; Gupta, R. K.
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Background: Monoclonal antibodies have emerged as a prophylactic strategy to prevent symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in immunocompromised individuals. However, the evolutionary and clinical implications of breakthrough infections under this regime remain unclear. Methods: A male in their 80s with a haematological/oncological diagnosis received a 2000 mg intravenous infusion of sotrovimab in March 2023 and was diagnosed with COVID-19 by RT-qPCR from a nasopharyngeal swab in August 2023. Weekly samples (n=24) were collected through February 2024 (171 days). All samples underwent whole-genome sequencing, with select mutations subjected to functional assessment. Findings: Sequencing identified the GE.1 lineage at all timepoints. An intra-host recombination event in ORF1ab (positions 8942-12458) was detected prior to 23 weeks post-detection, followed by a 14-fold increase in viral load (7.42e+06 to 1.00e+08 RNA copies/mL) and a marked shift in the viral population. E340D, a sotrovimab resistance mutation, was detected at low abundance (46%) within the first week post-infection, fluctuated over time, and was nearly fixed by week 15 (107 days) post-detection. We assessed five spike mutations - V36M, S98F, and V213G in the N-terminal domain, Y505P in the receptor-binding domain, and P681Q near the S1/S2 cleavage site - and additionally evaluated the impact of E340D. V36M conferred the highest infectivity across all cell lines, with the most significant effect in low-TMPRSS2 cells. While all mutations showed enhanced infectivity with the addition of E340D, the effect was most pronounced in mutations with lower baseline infectivity. The addition of E340D significantly decreased relative neutralizing titres for V36M, S98F, and V213G, enabling escape from neutralizing antibodies in XBB-responsive individuals, illustrating an enhanced phenotypic advantage. Patient neutralizing activity was absent pre-sotrovimab, and sotrovimab-induced neutralization was further compromised by selection of E340D. Interpretation: Sotrovimab pre-exposure prophylaxis in an immunocompromised patient did not prevent SARS-CoV-2 infection, and selected for resistant mutation E340D, with unexpected fitness consequences across non-receptor binding domain spike regions.
Hussein, M. A.; Doshi, R.; He, L.; Reynolds, T.
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Patients and caregivers seek informational and emotional support throughout medical care, especially when interpreting unfamiliar laboratory test results. Although resources such as patient portals and online health communities (OHCs) help address questions, gaps remain. The emergence of large language models (LLMs) offers the potential to be a complementary source of support to assist patients and caregivers in understanding and using their test results. The objective of our study is to empirically compare LLM responses to patients online questions containing their laboratory test results to responses written by peers in an OHC. We compared the 519 peer replies to 122 laboratory test-related posts from an OHC to 488 responses generated from four LLMs using mixed computational and qualitative methods. LLMs frequently provided clear explanations of medical terminology and structured interpretations of numeric results but were longer and less readable. Peers offered more personalized, context-specific emotional support. Overall, LLMs have the potential to complement peer responses in OHCs, but require greater emotional depth, reasoning transparency, and alignment with community norms.
van Boven, M.; Bootsma, M. C.
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Stochastic epidemic models are a cornerstone of infectious disease epidemiology and are often used to study intervention scenarios. However, large run-to-run variability can make intervention effects difficult to estimate precisely. We revisit the epidemic Sellke construction, which assigns each individual an infection threshold for the cumulative infection hazard such that, conditional on the thresholds, the epidemic trajectory becomes deterministic. This enables coupling of simulations with and without an intervention, yielding low-variance effect estimates even when outcomes such as final size or peak incidence vary widely between runs. We develop an exact, event-driven implementation that maintains infection and recovery events in priority queues. Cumulative infection-hazard updates require O(log N) time per event, yielding overall complexity O(Elog N) for E events in a population of size N. The implementation achieves computational performance comparable to the classical Gillespie algorithm while naturally accommodating non-Markovian infectious periods and complex infectiousness profiles. We illustrate the approach using distance-dependent spread of avian influenza between poultry farms in the Netherlands and a multilayer population with households, schools, and workplaces. In both examples, coupling enables efficient within-run comparisons of intervention scenarios across stochastic realisations.
Djaafara, B. A.; Elyazar, I. R.; Yosephine, P.; Surya, A.; Silalahi, F. S.; Handito, A.; Thohir, B.; Aryani, D.; Gunawan, D.; Nisa, A. K.; Prianto, E.; Samad, I.; Cook, A. R.; Huang, A. T.; Clapham, H. E.; Bhatt, S.; Mishra, S.
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Estimating dengue force of infection (FOI) is essential for understanding transmission dynamics and targeting intervention programmes, yet surveillance data in endemic settings required for estimations are often incomplete, with varying formats. We developed a Bayesian hierarchical catalytic model that jointly fits age-stratified case data, aggregate case data, and seroprevalence surveys within a single framework, incorporating external covariates to improve parameter identifiability. Synthetic validation showed that covariates alone recovered accurate FOI point estimates even when most districts contributed only aggregate data, but did so with poorly calibrated uncertainty; anchoring the model with a single seroprevalence survey was necessary to bring credible interval coverage close to nominal. Applied to 128 districts across Java and Bali, Indonesia (2016-2024), the model revealed substantial spatial heterogeneity in FOI and reporting rates. Many districts in Java exceeded the WHO-suggested seroprevalence threshold for vaccine introduction, yet were classified as low-priority when using reported incidence as prioritisation criterion, particularly in areas with weak surveillance. Model-based seroprevalence estimation, integrating multiple data sources, offers a more consistent basis for identifying high-priority districts for vaccine introduction, and is less susceptible to surveillance bias than reported incidence.
John, A.; Pike, C.; Olga, L.; Sovio, U.; Wong, H. S.; Smith, G. C.; Aiken, C.
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Background: Children born prematurely (before 37 weeks) or admitted to the neonatal unit (NNU) are at increased risk of adverse long-term physical health outcomes. It is also recognised that there is an association with later academic performance and special educational needs, however it is not clear whether these broad risk factors could be used as stand-alone heuristics to identify children who may benefit from additional support in educational settings. We aimed to examine the associations between neonatal unit (NNU) admission and educational attainment in mid-childhood. Methods and Findings: Pregnancy data from a prospective birth cohort (Pregnancy Outcome Prediction Study, Cambridge, United Kingdom, 2008-2012) were linked to national educational outcomes (Department for Education, United Kingdom). Multivariable regression models adjusted for maternal, child, and socioeconomic factors were used to evaluate associations between (i) all NNU admissions, (ii) at term NNU admissions >48 hours, (iii) preterm birth without ongoing physical health needs, and educational outcomes at ages 5-11 years. Children who required any NNU care were more likely not to meet expected educational standards across multiple ages and domains in early and mid-childhood: age 5 early year foundation (aOR 1.64, 95% CI 1.19-2.27, p=0.003), phonics at age 6 (aOR 2.43, 95% CI 1.72-3.57, p<0.001), and at age 7 (here assessments were divided into multiple domains): reading (aOR 1.67, 95% CI 1.18-2.38, p=0.004), writing (aOR 1.72, 95% CI 1.25-2.38, p<0.001), mathematics (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.09-2.22, p=0.020), and science (aOR 1.85, 95% CI 1.22-2.78, p=0.003). Similar patterns were observed among both at term-born infants who stayed >48hrs in NNU (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 2.26, 95% CI 1.51-3.36, p<0.001) and in children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (phonics assessment at age 6 aOR 3.07, 95% CI 1.96-4.81, p<0.001). These associations were robust to adjustment for demographic, perinatal, and socio-economic factors. By age 11, differences in academic attainment were attenuated and no longer clearly distinguishable across all exposure groups. However, there was an increased likelihood of special educational needs (SEN) at age 11 associated with any NNU admission (aOR 1.78, 95% CI 1.15-2.73, p=0.009), at term NNU admission for >48hrs (aOR 1.88, 95% CI 1.19-3.00, p=0.007), and children born preterm without long-term physical health sequelae (aOR 1.50, 95% CI 1.00-2.25, p=0.049). Predictive performance of any NNU admission for SEN at age 11 was moderate (AUC 0.70, 95% CI: 1.14-2.65, p=0.010), with balanced sensitivity and specificity and high negative predictive value. Conclusions: NNU admission, for both term and preterm infants, is associated with poorer educational outcomes and an increased likelihood of special educational needs in mid-childhood.
Aung, K. W.; Scuffell, J.; Podlasek, A.; Engamba, S.; Jones, F.; Edwards, A.; Chew-Graham, C. A.; Sanyaolu, L.; Busse-Morris, M.
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Background Post-infection conditions (PICs), such as Long Covid, are associated with heterogeneous, fluctuating symptoms that profoundly affect daily functioning. Despite moderate-certainty evidence from the NIHR-funded LISTEN trial (COV-LT2-0009) that personalised self management support improves outcomes and may reduce societal and economic impacts of Long Covid, many people living with PICs still receive condition-specific services, generic advice, or stand-alone digital tools that do not address their complex needs. Aim To map care approaches in general practice and synthesise UK evidence for PIC management. Design and setting Scoping review and online survey. Method A two-phase study was conducted: (1) a scoping review of UK evidence on PIC management in general practice; and (2) a supplementary online survey of practitioners working in UK general practice to provide contextual insights. Results The scoping review identified 32 studies focused on Long Covid. One study included a comparator group (ME/CFS). Study populations were predominantly white ethnicity and female. Evidence for non-Covid PICs in UK general practice was largely absent. The supplementary survey (n=46) provided preliminary practice-level insights. Healthcare practitioners reported varied PIC presentations, diagnostic uncertainty, limited referral pathways, inequitable access, and low confidence in managing PICs. Conclusion Evidence informing PIC management in UK general practice remains predominantly Long Covid-focused and may not reflect the range of PICs encountered in practice. While survey findings are preliminary and require confirmation in larger samples, they highlight uncertainty around PIC management. Further research is needed to evaluate whether existing Long Covid pathways should be expanded or complemented by broader PIC models. Keywords general practice; Long Covid; self-management; post-viral syndromes
Arendse, G.; Kamerman, P.; Wadley, A.; Edwards, R. R.; Joska, J.; Parker, R.; Madden, V. J.
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Objective: There is a bidirectional relationship between emotional distress and pain. However, this relationship is understudied in people with HIV in low-resource settings. This study sought to describe the temporal relationship between emotional distress and pain in people with HIV. Design: Longitudinal observational study. Methods: Participants with virally suppressed HIV, reporting either no pain or persistent pain at baseline, provided weekly remote ratings of distress, worst pain, and average pain using 0-10 visual analogue scales. Within-individual fluctuations in distress and pain were visualised over time. Group-level correlations were determined using Spearman's correlation tests. Cumulative link mixed models assessed whether distress and pain each predicted the other in the following week. Results: 72 participants provided responses over 49 weeks. The participants had a median (IQR) age of 43 (37-51) years, 63% (n=45) were unemployed and most were females (n=51;71%). Distress and pain fluctuated concurrently within individuals: distress was positively correlated with worst pain ({rho}=0.66, 95% CI= 0.60-0.72, p<0.001) and average pain ({rho}=0.70, 95% CI=0.64-0.75, p<0.001) intensity within the same week. Worst pain (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.17-1.71, p<0.001) and average pain (OR=1.43, 95% CI=1.20-1.71, p<0.001) intensity both predicted distress in the next week. Distress predicted worst pain intensity (OR=1.25, 95% CI=1.07-1.46, p=0.023) but not average pain intensity (OR=1.19, 95% CI=1.01-1.40, p=0.152) in the next week. Conclusions: The temporal relationship between distress and worst pain intensity was bidirectional, whereas distress did not temporally predict average pain intensity. Both pain and emotional distress should receive attention from HIV research and clinical care in low-resource settings.